40-150 Pro price in a year?

Discussion in 'Native Lenses' started by hwan, Oct 30, 2014.

  1. hwan

    hwan Mu-43 Regular

    38
    Sep 20, 2014
    St Louis, MO
    This is a lens that I am set out to get. The thing is, I don't need it just yet, but in a few months time, it will become essential for my needs. I'm curious as to what you guys think the price of this lens will be in a year's time. Go up, down, or stay the same? I'm debating between pre-ordering now or waiting until next summer when I actually need the lens.

    EDIT: I should specify that I'm talking about the price for new directly from Olympus. Otherwise it's unfair to compare it to a refurbished or bundled price.
     
  2. DoofClenas

    DoofClenas Who needs a Mirror!

    947
    Nov 9, 2012
    Traverse City, MI
    Clint
    I'm waiting 9-12 months after they get released. Hopefully by then, the refurbs will hit the olympus site around the $1000 mark.
     
  3. barry13

    barry13 Super Moderator; Photon Wrangler

    Mar 7, 2014
    Southern California
    Barry
    Hwan, I think all you can expect is occasional sales, they've had $100 off at times on the more expensive lenses.

    Barry
     
  4. nstelemark

    nstelemark Mu-43 Hall of Famer

    May 28, 2013
    Halifax, Nova Scotia Canada
    Larry
    I think it will go down, perhaps quite a bit. The refurb price on the 12-40 really set the bar on the lens like new used market. The lens was $999, and the refurb price was $639. If the refurb price on the 40-150 is 40% off you now have the like new used price set.
     
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  5. mcasan

    mcasan Mu-43 All-Pro

    Feb 26, 2014
    Atlanta
    Tract the decline of the 12-40 Pro price as a good indication.
     
  6. hwan

    hwan Mu-43 Regular

    38
    Sep 20, 2014
    St Louis, MO
    The 12-40 lens price hasn't changed since release, other than the occasional $100 off sale. My guess is that unless there are some major problems with the lens that none of the reviews have found, the price will not drop. Perhaps it will even increase due to the demand? Has that happened before for a lens?
     
  7. nstelemark

    nstelemark Mu-43 Hall of Famer

    May 28, 2013
    Halifax, Nova Scotia Canada
    Larry
    The retail has been fairly constant, but the refurb price has set the bar for the used price and also for all the 4/3 glass in that FL range. The aggressive refurb price really makes buying new somewhat questionable, especially since refurbs are eligible for extended warranties.

    $640 for a refurb + $80 for a 4 year warranty really sets the bar.
     
  8. Edmunds

    Edmunds Mu-43 Regular

    158
    Oct 16, 2012
    You can't really compare it to the 12-40, because the price of that lens is dictated by sellers who split kits. There is a retailer from Japan who sells them brand new for $747 by splitting from a kit. That is unlikely to happen with the 40-150mm f/2.8

    I have no doubts that the price of the 40-150mm f/2.8 will drop. But in the time frame you mention, it is highly unlikely, but Olympus does have the occasional sale with $100 off and stuff like that, so maybe wait for that?

    Where did you see a 12-40 for $640 and how many of those were there? On ebay, trending used prices are $750-$800, which is quite normal for a $1000 lens. Right now on ebay the cheapest lens from a US retailer is $860, and that too is "pre-owned".
     
  9. Geoff3DMN

    Geoff3DMN Mu-43 Veteran

    I can't see the new retail price dropping much if at all in the next 12 months but there will be a supply of 2nd hand and refurbished lenses available at a cheaper price for those looking to wait and save money.
     
  10. nstelemark

    nstelemark Mu-43 Hall of Famer

    May 28, 2013
    Halifax, Nova Scotia Canada
    Larry
    The 12-40 has been on the Olympus refurb store many times at $639. I bought my 12-40 from it. I would not pay any more than $640 for a used 12-40 lens.
     
  11. Halaking

    Halaking Mu-43 Top Veteran

    667
    Dec 17, 2012
    Los Angeles
    Morris
    I had read Olympus has delayed date for this lens cause by very high numbers of order.