40-150 Pro price in a year?

I'm waiting 9-12 months after they get released. Hopefully by then, the refurbs will hit the olympus site around the $1000 mark.

 

I think it will go down, perhaps quite a bit. The refurb price on the 12-40 really set the bar on the lens like new used market. The lens was $999, and the refurb price was $639. If the refurb price on the 40-150 is 40% off you now have the like new used price set.

 

Tract the decline of the 12-40 Pro price as a good indication.

 

The retail has been fairly constant, but the refurb price has set the bar for the used price and also for all the 4/3 glass in that FL range. The aggressive refurb price really makes buying new somewhat questionable, especially since refurbs are eligible for extended warranties.

$640 for a refurb + $80 for a 4 year warranty really sets the bar.

 

You can't really compare it to the 12-40, because the price of that lens is dictated by sellers who split kits. There is a retailer from Japan who sells them brand new for $747 by splitting from a kit. That is unlikely to happen with the 40-150mm f/2.8

I have no doubts that the price of the 40-150mm f/2.8 will drop. But in the time frame you mention, it is highly unlikely, but Olympus does have the occasional sale with $100 off and stuff like that, so maybe wait for that?

Where did you see a 12-40 for $640 and how many of those were there? On ebay, trending used prices are $750-$800, which is quite normal for a $1000 lens. Right now on ebay the cheapest lens from a US retailer is $860, and that too is "pre-owned".

 

I can't see the new retail price dropping much if at all in the next 12 months but there will be a supply of 2nd hand and refurbished lenses available at a cheaper price for those looking to wait and save money.

 

The 12-40 has been on the Olympus refurb store many times at $639. I bought my 12-40 from it. I would not pay any more than $640 for a used 12-40 lens.

 

I had read Olympus has delayed date for this lens cause by very high numbers of order.